Posts Tagged ‘Energy Information Administration’

Natural gas captured from organic shale formations is not new to the oil and gas industry; shale gas has been produced since the early 1800s (DOE, 2009).  Most shale gas formations have historically been deemed economically impractical to drill due to the available technology and relative abundance of domestic conventional natural gas sources.  However, recent technological advances in horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing along with increasing demand for natural gas and recent price trends for natural gas, have allowed previously inaccessible reserves to become technologically feasible and economically efficient to recover (DOE, 2009).

The Annual Energy Outlook for 2009, recently released by the United States’ Energy Information Administration, projects an increase of 0.5% total primary energy consumption annually through 2030 (EIA, 2009).  The majority of this demand increase will come from the residential sector’s demand for additional electricity (EIA, 2009).  Currently, coal-fired electricity generation dominates the electricity generation sector at approximately 49% of total U.S. domestic generation capacity (EIA, 2009).  However, due to emerging concerns and public policy developments regarding greenhouse gases and renewable portfolio standards for a sustainable energy supply, lower carbon energy sources needed for electricity generation are expected to gain marketplace demand (EIA, 2009).  Unfortunately, conversion from a fossil fuel-dependent energy economy to a low-carbon energy economy will take time and significant capital investment for infrastructure development (DOE, 2009).  A recent Wall Street Journal article cites Carl Pope, executive director of the Sierra Club as viewing natural gas as a “bridge fuel” from carbon-intensive fossil fuels, such as coal and petroleum, to cleaner future fuel sources (Casselman, 2009).

In order to meet the expected increased demand for natural gas without increasing dependence on foreign imports, development of domestic unconventional natural gas sources will need to grow rapidly.  Production from unconventional natural gas sources, namely organic shales, tight sand formations, and coal-bed methane, currently account for approximately 50% of the total domestic natural gas production (DOE, 2009), this total production from unconventional resources was estimated at 8.9 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) per year in 2007 (ALL, 2008c).  Of the 8.9 Tcf of unconventional natural gas produced in the United States in 2007, 1.2 Tcf was from shale formations; however, shale gas production is expected to grow to 4.2 Tcf by 2030, accounting for an estimated 18% of the total U.S. gas production in 2030.  Unconventional sources combined are predicted to grow to nearly 56% of total U.S. domestic natural gas production (EIA, 2009).  To date, four evolving shale gas plays (Haynesville, Marcellus, Fayetteville and Woodford) are estimated to have over 550 Tcf of total recoverable gas resources, these formatiosn are expected to be capable of providing sustainable production of 2-4 Tcf of natural gas annually for decades (DOE, 2009).  Of these four, the Haynesville Shale and Marcellus Shale may have the most significant additions to domestic reserves of natural gas in recent decades.

Copyright: GoMarcellusshale.com

School districts that sign a lease will receive money per acre, royalty checks on a regular basis.

By Rory Sweeneyrsweeney@timesleader.com
Staff Writer

There are school superintendents who would drool over the windfall Bill Bush received around January. But Bush, the superintendent at Elk Lake School District, is looking for an even bigger payday.

The district essentially made $127,500 for nothing when it signed a gas lease earlier this year for its 170 acres in Susquehanna County. The district received $750 per acre and royalties of 12.5 percent.

With lease offers hovering around $2,500 per acre in some areas, the deal doesn’t seem as equitable as it once did.

“We were excited at the time, but not now,” Bush said. “I think anybody who signed a lease prior to today probably wishes they had waited.”

Still, the district jumped on the offer, he said, because the company assured it would drill a well on district property, guaranteeing the district a handsome royalty check on a regular basis.

With a furor building over the potential of the natural gas reserves locked in a rock layer that stretches from New York to Virginia, the decision is one that many school districts in the area might have to soon consider. Bush said he believes Elk Lake is the first district to sign, but others aren’t far behind.

Tunkhannock Area School District recently agreed to join a group of Wyoming County landowners who are negotiating a gas lease. Dallas School District is also discussing lease options.Bush said Cabot Oil and Gas Corp. is planning to have a well online by the 2009-2010 school year. It’s unclear how much the district stands to gain from royalties, but surrounding areas “indicate strong reserves,” Bush said. “If we’re consistent with what the project is locally, it would certainly be beneficial to the district,” he said.

So far, Elk Lake is attempting to ignore its financial good fortune, Bush said. The money it already received went to the general fund and disappeared in the district’s almost $17 million annual budget. Instead of counting down the days until royalties start rolling in, people in the district are looking at them as an unexpected bonus if they come.

“I think everybody’s kind of reserving judgment to see how it comes out,” Bush said. “I think they’ve remained grounded.”

Bush has modest plans for the funds, such as building and grounds maintenance and upgrading technology.

Beyond the royalties it would receive from drilling, the district retained the rights to 200,000 cubic feet of gas each year, which it could use or sell at market price. At prices calculated by the federal Energy Information Administration, the district would make about $1,500 from its yearly allotment. The district is considering switching from its oil-fired heating system to a natural gas one, Bush said.

The district also reserved other land rights in about two dozen addendums to the lease.

“Environmental concerns were first and foremost,” Bush said, but safety and other issues were included.

Beyond the royalties, the district retained the rights to 200,000 cubic feet of gas each year, which it could use or sell at market price.

Copyright: Times Leader

Energy resource below Appalachia in four states seen as possible boon.

GENARO C. ARMAS Associated Press Writer
STATE COLLEGE — More than a mile beneath an area of Appalachia covering parts of four states lies a mostly untapped reservoir of natural gas that could swell U.S. reserves.

Geologists and energy companies have known for decades about the gas in the Marcellus Shale, but only recently have figured out a possible – though expensive – way to extract it from the thick black rock about 6,000 feet underground.

Like prospectors mining for gold, energy executives must decide whether the prize is worth the huge investment.

“This is a very real prospect, very real,” said Stephen Rhoads, president of the Pennsylvania Oil and Gas Association. “This could be a very significant year for this.”

The shale holding the best prospects covers an area of 54,000 square miles, from upstate New York, across Pennsylvania into eastern Ohio and across most of West Virginia – a total area bigger than the state of Pennsylvania.

It could contain as much as 50 trillion cubic feet of recoverable natural gas, according to a recent study by researchers at Penn State University and the State University of New York at Fredonia.

The United States produces about 19 trillion cubic feet of gas a year, so the Marcellus field would be a boon if new drilling technology works, Penn State geoscientist Terry Engelder said.

“The value of this science could increment the net worth of U.S. energy resources by a trillion dollars, plus or minus billions,” he said.

The average consumer price for natural gas in the United States is forecast to rise 78 percent between the 2001-2002 and 2007-2008 winter heating seasons, which last from October to March. Prices will go from $7.45 to $13.32 per thousand cubic feet this season, according to the federal Energy Information Administration.

That translates into the average season bill nearly doubling during the same period from $465 to $884.

One of the main players in Pennsylvania, Range Resources Corp., of Fort Worth, Texas, has roughly 4,700 wells statewide – though it’s the results from five new horizontal wells in southwestern Pennsylvania that have company executives especially hopeful.

The company, in a December financial report, estimated that two horizontal wells are producing roughly 4.6 million cubic feet of gas per day. Tests on an additional three recently completed horizontal wells showed potential for a total of 12.7 million cubic feet of gas per day.

“We’re extremely encouraged. We see many viable parts of the Marcellus that will be commercial,” said Range Senior Vice President Rodney Waller.

Yet he cautioned it was still too early to determine how successful the venture could be because of limited data.

The upfront money may give some pause to prospectors. A typical well that drills straight down to a depth of about 2,000 to 3,000 feet costs roughly $800,000.

But in the Marcellus Shale, Range and other companies hope a different kind of drilling might yield better results – one in which a well is dug straight down to depths of about 6,000 feet or more, before making a right angle to drill horizontally into the shale. That kind of well could cost a company $3 million to build, not counting the cost of leasing the land, Engelder said.

So the multimillion-dollar question is whether that technology can consistently release the gas from the layer of rock hundreds of millions of years old.

Scientists had long thought the Marcellus served as a source perhaps for shallower wells dug by conventional drills. Previous attempts to extract gas conventionally from the Marcellus haven’t led to much success.

According to Engelder, a series of seams, or fractures, in the rock could hold the key.

Drilling horizontally into this matrix could help give the gas an outlet to escape, said Engelder, a principal owner in Appalachian Fracturing Systems Inc., a consulting firm to gas companies.

Homeowners are intrigued, too. About 80 people packed into a lecture hall at Penn State Wilkes-Barre for a gas drilling information seminar sponsored by the university’s cooperative extension.

People such as Carl Penedos, who owns 150 acres of Wyoming County, relayed stories of gas company representatives knocking on the doors of neighbors seeking to lease land. A couple of neighbors recently signed leases for $50 per acre per year, while others have been offered $500 per acre, he said.

The homebuilder said he was also concerned about the potential environmental impact of drilling.

Copyright: Times Leader